More consumers hunting for bargains this Easter, NRF says

Consumers plan to spend an average $169.79 this year on Easter-related items, according to results of the annual survey released by the National Retail Federation and Prosper Insights & Analytics.

A total of 80 percent of Americans will celebrate the holiday and spend a collective $20.8 billion, down slightly from last year's forecast of $21.6 billion.

“Consumers are eager to return to their pre-pandemic holiday traditions, particularly as it relates to purchasing food and gifts for in-person celebrations this Easter,” said NRF President and CEO Matthew Shay. “Friends and family want to be together, and consumers are willing to spend money to make these events memorable.”

With just more than half (51 percent) of consumers planning in-person celebrations, up from 43 percent the previous year, food will account for the largest spending category. Among those planning to celebrate Easter, the average spend is $53.61 on food, followed by $28.04 on gifts and $27.93 on clothing.

Inflation concerns are driving consumers to seek the most value for their dollar when shopping for the Easter holiday. If the price of an Easter-related item is higher than expected, 42 percent of consumers said they will look for it at another retailer and 31 percent will find an alternative like another brand or color. Like last year, half (50 percent) of holiday shoppers plan to purchase gifts at discount stores, 41 percent at department stores and 35 percent online.

While consumers are prioritizing in-person celebrations, virtual holiday plans have declined sharply since the beginning of the pandemic. Only 13 percent are planning to visit family and friends virtually, a 62 percent decrease from 2020. Virtual church service attendance is also expected to be down, with only 12 percent planning to attend by phone or video compared with 32 percent in 2020.

“Even those not celebrating Easter still plan to spend an average of $18.49 per person, underscoring this popular holiday’s wide economic reach,” said Prosper Insights Executive Vice President of Strategy Phil Rist.

The survey of 8,155 consumers was conducted March 1-9 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 1.1 percentage points.
The Merchants Payments Coalition in response said, hidden “swipe” fees charged by big banks and credit card networks to process transactions could cost the average consumer the equivalent of two dozen eggs this Easter and total hundreds of millions of dollars nationwide, the Merchants Payments Coalition said.

“Banks and card companies will be grabbing eggs out of the Easter basket again this spring through the rising fees they charge to process credit card transactions,” MPC Executive Committee member and National Retail Federation Vice President for Government Relations, Banking and Financial Services Leon Buck said. “Not even the Easter Bunny is exempt from these fees, which come on top of the higher prices already resulting from inflation. And this isn’t just about Easter – swipe fees drive up prices for consumers all year long, even when they don’t use a credit card. It’s time for the card industry to stop price-fixing these fees and compete to offer merchants and consumers the best deal the same as children compete at an Easter egg hunt.”

Based on the 2.22 percent average swipe fee for Visa and Mastercard credit cards, $3.77 of the average Easter spending amount will go to banks and card networks rather than the merchant when customers pay by credit card. With eggs averaging $1.79 a dozen last year, that’s the equivalent of more than two dozen eggs or three packages of Easter egg dye.

If all Easter purchases were made with credit cards, swipe fees would account for $461.8 million of the total. The actual amount is difficult to calculate because card purchases are split between credit cards and debit cards, which have a lower swipe fee, and some purchases are made with cash. But cash accounted for only 23 percent of purchases in 2020, according to the Federal Reserve, and its use is rapidly declining as more spending has moved online during the pandemic and consumers have shifted to more use of plastic even for in-person purchases.

Swipe fees leave merchants with less than 98 cents on the dollar when credit cards are used. They are most merchants’ highest cost after labor and drive up prices even when consumers pay with cash. Swipe fees for Visa and Mastercard credit cards alone totaled $61.6 billion in 2020, up 137 percent over the previous decade, according to the Nilson Report. When all types and brands of cards are included, processing fees totaled $110.3 billion in 2020, up 70 percent over 10 years. The fees amount to an estimated $724 a year for the average U.S. family.

The fees will soon get higher, with Visa and Mastercard scheduled to complete implementation of $1.2 billion in increases in April.
About 80 percent of the credit card market is controlled by Visa and Mastercard, and MPC earlier this month called on Congress to investigate their dominance and the impact of their fess on inflation. As prices go up with inflation, swipe fees increase proportionately, creating a multiplier effect and giving banks and card networks an unearned windfall even if their rates remain the same.

Visa and Mastercard swipe fees are set centrally by the two card networks and the banks that issue their cards all charge the same rather than competing with each other to offer lower fees. Merchants have argued in court and before Congress that the practice violates federal antitrust law.


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